No. 61· MVC

Belmont

Record 26-6Tempo 70.1Off 119.7Def 108.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin+11.76

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#61

11.76

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#43

119.7

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#145

108.0

Adjusted Tempo

#87

70.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#16

73.8

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

60.7%

TOV%

#256

17.9%

ORB%

#240

28.7%

FTR

#202

34.4%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 119.7, D: 108.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:11.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

PASS

Value:81.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #43, Def: #145

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:41.0%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.96

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:73.8

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:10.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.2%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:3.15

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:0.1

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:68.6%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)