No. 172· ASun

Austin Peay

Record 22-9Tempo 69.9Off 108.8Def 108.5

Adj. Efficiency Margin+0.23

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#172

0.23

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#185

108.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#158

108.5

Adjusted Tempo

#107

69.9

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#90

58.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#215

50.6%

TOV%

#151

16.4%

ORB%

#238

28.7%

FTR

#136

36.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 108.8, D: 108.5

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:0.2

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:71.0%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #185, Def: #158

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.3%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.01

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:58.5

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-1.5%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.1%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-1.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:1.76

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-5.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:73.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)