No. 142· SB

Arkansas St.

Record 20-12Tempo 73.1Off 110.6Def 108.6

Adj. Efficiency Margin+1.98

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#142

1.98

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#146

110.6

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#164

108.6

Adjusted Tempo

73.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#132

54.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#196

51.0%

TOV%

#341

19.7%

ORB%

#17

37.6%

FTR

#102

38.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 110.6, D: 108.6

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:2.0

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:62.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #146, Def: #164

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:32.9%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.16

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:54.7

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-0.5%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:10.2%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:1.20

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-7.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:73.3%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)