No. 19· SEC

Arkansas

Record 28-9Tempo 72.4Off 127.5Def 104.6

Adj. Efficiency Margin+22.90

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#19

22.90

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

127.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#77

104.6

Adjusted Tempo

#15

72.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#32

68.7

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#10

58.5%

TOV%

12.2%

ORB%

#69

34.2%

FTR

#140

36.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

9 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

60% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 127.5, D: 104.6

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:22.9

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

PASS

Value:75.7%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #7, Def: #77

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:38.2%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

PASS

Value:Z: 1.88

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

FAIL

Value:#17

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:68.7

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:9.0%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:5.0%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:5.9%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:7.65

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

PASS

Value:7.2

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:75.1%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)