No. 80· B12

Arizona St.

Record 17-16Tempo 69.8Off 114.1Def 105.1

Adj. Efficiency Margin+8.98

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#80

8.98

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#86

114.1

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#88

105.1

Adjusted Tempo

#115

69.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#217

47.8

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#96

53.6%

TOV%

#143

16.3%

ORB%

#138

31.8%

FTR

#15

42.7%

🔮 Crystal Ball

4 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

27% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 114.1, D: 105.1

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:9.0

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:51.5%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #86, Def: #88

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:33.4%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: 0.74

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:47.8

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:3.9%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:3.7%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:0.0%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:9.37

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-1.3

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:75.3%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)