No. 230· Pat

American

Record 16-16Tempo 67.1Off 106.8Def 111.6

Adj. Efficiency Margin-4.84

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#230

-4.84

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#222

106.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#230

111.6

Adjusted Tempo

#266

67.1

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#231

45.5

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#224

50.5%

TOV%

#179

16.7%

ORB%

#307

26.6%

FTR

#320

29.8%

🔮 Crystal Ball

3 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

20% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 106.8, D: 111.6

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-4.8

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:50.0%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #222, Def: #230

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:32.9%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.40

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:45.5

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-3.9%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.7%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-4.1%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-14.39

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-11.5

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:75.8%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)