No. 328· SWAC

Alabama St.

Record 10-22Tempo 69.8Off 100.0Def 114.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin-14.00

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#328

-14.00

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#336

100.0

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#281

114.0

Adjusted Tempo

#108

69.8

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#293

39.2

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#337

46.9%

TOV%

#268

18.0%

ORB%

#195

30.2%

FTR

#256

32.2%

🔮 Crystal Ball

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National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

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*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 100.0, D: 114.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-14.0

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:31.3%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #336, Def: #281

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:31.8%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -1.16

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:39.2

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-6.7%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

FAIL

Value:-0.3%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

FAIL

Value:-2.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-10.36

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-17.4

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:70.5%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)