No. 14· SEC

Alabama

Record 25-10Tempo 73.2Off 128.5Def 104.0

Adj. Efficiency Margin+24.46

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#14

24.46

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

128.5

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#69

104.0

Adjusted Tempo

73.2

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#55

63.9

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#14

58.2%

TOV%

13.1%

ORB%

#56

34.7%

FTR

#106

38.0%

🔮 Crystal Ball

9 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

60% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 128.5, D: 104.0

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:24.5

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:71.4%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #3, Def: #69

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

PASS

Value:35.8%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

PASS

Value:Z: 2.01

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

PASS

Value:#12

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:63.9

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

PASS

Value:11.3%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:6.5%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

PASS

Value:7.95

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

PASS

Value:6.9

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

PASS

Value:76.7%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)