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No. 63· MAC
Akron
Record 29-6Tempo 70.4Off 118.3Def 106.7
Adj. Efficiency Margin+11.55
Core Metrics
Adjusted Efficiency Margin
#6311.55
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
#50118.3
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
#124106.7
Adjusted Tempo
#7070.4
Four Factor Performance
Four Factor Index (WZ100)
#18
73.1
Overall four-factor dominance score
eFG%
#2956.7%
TOV%
#12016.0%
ORB%
#9533.0%
FTR
#31629.9%
🔮 Crystal Ball
6 / 15
National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*
40% complete
*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.
Trapezoid of Excellence
FAIL
Value:Outside
Need:Inside trapezoid
Balanced Dominance
FAIL
Value:O: 118.3, D: 106.7
Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4
Title Favorite (AdjEM)
FAIL
Value:11.5
Need:≥ 30.5
Win Percentage
PASS
Value:82.9%
Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)
Elite Efficiency
FAIL
Value:Off: #50, Def: #124
Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45
3-Point %
PASS
Value:38.2%
Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)
Elite AdjEM
FAIL
Value:Z: 0.95
Need:Z ≥ 1.76
AP Poll Week 6
N/A
Value:N/A
Need:≤ 12
Four Factor Index
FAIL
Value:73.1
Need:≥ 77.8
eFG Margin
FAIL
Value:5.4%
Need:≥ 7.5%
Turnover Edge
PASS
Value:2.4%
Need:≥ 0.4%
Rebounding Edge
PASS
Value:2.4%
Need:≥ 1.5%
FTR Margin
PASS
Value:-1.06
Need:≥ -4.28
WAB (Wins Above Bubble)
FAIL
Value:-0.6
Need:> 5
Free Throw %
PASS
Value:75.4%
Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)
🥿
Cinderella Index
Upset-potential score based on strength, defense, possession, variance & resume.
66
Elite Cinderella Threat
AdjEM-to-seed is 4 spots better than seed — correctly or overseeded.
Underseeded (28%)61
Defense (27%)65
Possession (21%)73
Variance (14%)66
Resume (10%)67