No. 264· WAC

Abilene Christian

Record 14-19Tempo 68.4Off 100.8Def 108.3

Adj. Efficiency Margin-7.48

Outlook↗

Core Metrics

Adjusted Efficiency Margin

#264

-7.48

Adjusted Offensive Efficiency

#324

100.8

Adjusted Defensive Efficiency

#153

108.3

Adjusted Tempo

#197

68.4

Four Factor Performance

Four Factor Index (WZ100)

#318

34.6

Overall four-factor dominance score

eFG%

#307

48.4%

TOV%

#351

20.4%

ORB%

#168

31.0%

FTR

#42

40.6%

🔮 Crystal Ball

2 / 15

National Champion Checklist — 15 criteria based on historical championship winners*

13% complete

*The "UConn Rule": Four Factor criteria are calculated based on 19 of the last 21 National Champions, explicitly excluding the anomalous 2011 & 2014 UConn runs to ensure stricter, more accurate predictive thresholds.

Trapezoid of Excellence

FAIL

Value:Outside

Need:Inside trapezoid

Balanced Dominance

FAIL

Value:O: 100.8, D: 108.3

Need:(O ≥ 121.8 & D ≤ 101.7) or EM ≥ 30.4

Title Favorite (AdjEM)

FAIL

Value:-7.5

Need:≥ 30.5

Win Percentage

FAIL

Value:42.4%

Need:≥ 73.2% (Z ≥ 1.31)

Elite Efficiency

FAIL

Value:Off: #324, Def: #153

Need:Off ≤ 16, Def ≤ 45

3-Point %

FAIL

Value:31.0%

Need:≥ 32.5% (Z ≥ -0.52)

Elite AdjEM

FAIL

Value:Z: -0.62

Need:Z ≥ 1.76

AP Poll Week 6

N/A

Value:N/A

Need:≤ 12

Four Factor Index

FAIL

Value:34.6

Need:≥ 77.8

eFG Margin

FAIL

Value:-8.2%

Need:≥ 7.5%

Turnover Edge

PASS

Value:1.5%

Need:≥ 0.4%

Rebounding Edge

PASS

Value:3.4%

Need:≥ 1.5%

FTR Margin

FAIL

Value:-11.85

Need:≥ -4.28

WAB (Wins Above Bubble)

FAIL

Value:-12.8

Need:> 5

Free Throw %

FAIL

Value:70.4%

Need:≥ 71.4% (Z ≥ -0.28)