Luck Chart

Net Rating vs. Wins Above Expected — who's playing above or below their true quality

Updated daily

Conference

30 teams

Pythagorean expected wins (exponent 14) · Vertical line = league avg net rating (-1.35)

Team	W	L	Net Rtg	Exp W	Wins +/-↓	Quadrant
Los Angeles LakersWest	53	29	+0.8	42.9	+10.1	Running Hot
Milwaukee BucksEast	32	50	-7.0	24.4	+7.6	Overachieving
Orlando MagicEast	45	37	-1.3	37.8	+7.2	Running Hot
Portland Trail BlazersWest	42	40	-2.4	34.9	+7.1	Overachieving
Philadelphia 76ersEast	45	37	-1.0	38.4	+6.6	Running Hot
San Antonio SpursWest	62	20	+6.3	56.0	+6.0	Running Hot
Detroit PistonsEast	60	22	+5.4	54.2	+5.8	Running Hot
Denver NuggetsWest	54	28	+3.2	48.6	+5.4	Running Hot
Cleveland CavaliersEast	52	30	+2.4	47.0	+5.0	Running Hot
Houston RocketsWest	52	30	+2.6	47.5	+4.5	Running Hot
Chicago BullsEast	31	51	-5.7	27.3	+3.7	Overachieving
Atlanta HawksEast	46	36	+0.6	42.6	+3.4	Running Hot
Phoenix SunsWest	45	37	+0.2	41.6	+3.4	Running Hot
Brooklyn NetsEast	20	62	-10.8	17.0	+3.0	Overachieving
Boston CelticsEast	56	26	+5.0	53.1	+2.9	Running Hot
Minnesota TimberwolvesWest	49	33	+2.1	46.2	+2.8	Running Hot
Sacramento KingsWest	22	60	-9.6	19.5	+2.5	Overachieving
Toronto RaptorsEast	46	36	+1.2	44.1	+1.9	Running Hot
Oklahoma City ThunderWest	64	18	+9.3	62.5	+1.5	Running Hot
Washington WizardsEast	17	65	-11.8	15.7	+1.3	Overachieving
New York KnicksEast	53	29	+4.6	52.2	+0.8	Running Hot
Los Angeles ClippersWest	42	40	+0.1	41.3	+0.7	Running Hot
Dallas MavericksWest	26	56	-6.4	25.4	+0.6	Overachieving
Memphis GrizzliesWest	25	57	-7.0	24.4	+0.6	Overachieving
Utah JazzWest	22	60	-8.5	21.6	+0.4	Overachieving
Charlotte HornetsEast	44	38	+1.1	43.8	+0.2	Running Hot
Golden State WarriorsWest	37	45	-1.6	36.9	+0.1	Overachieving
Miami HeatEast	43	39	+1.0	43.5	-0.5	Hidden Value
New Orleans PelicansWest	26	56	-5.2	28.5	-2.5	Struggling
Indiana PacersEast	19	63	-8.0	22.3	-3.3	Struggling